Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
