Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
