Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.