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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio AKRON
Guadalajara
2 - 0
Necaxa
Beltran (24'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Batista (45'), Gonzalez (60'), Rodriguez (75')
Dudamel (45+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa

Necaxa have been resilient in their first two games of the new season, but Friday presents a much trickier test, and we see this confident Guadalajara side making it three wins on the bounce on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CD Guadalajara.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
54.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 20.05% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 45.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.27% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79%79.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 54.73%
    Necaxa 20.05%
    Draw 25.21%
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.05%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Necaxa

CD Guadalajara
90.3%
Draw
9.7%
Necaxa
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12am
Aug 20, 2022 1am
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
0-1
Guadalajara

Madrigal (34'), Gimenez (60'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Ponce (89')
Perez Bouquet (4')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Necaxa
Brizuela (43'), Zaldivar (90+12' pen.)
Vega (23'), Molina (47'), Mayorga (89')
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (54')
Oliveros (90+8'), Meza (90+10')
Feb 14, 2021 1am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
2-2
Necaxa
Dominguez (66'), Gonzalez (74'), Barragan (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico San Luis7511156916
2Tigres7421156914
3Juarez7421158714
4CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara7412117413
5TolucaToluca7331115612
6Club AmericaAmerica6321128411
7Santos LagunaSantos Laguna73221111011
8MonterreyMonterrey631285310
9Atlas72325509
10PumasPumas7232911-29
11Club Leon72239908
12PueblaPuebla7214810-27
13QueretaroQueretaro6213612-67
14MazatlanMazatlan7133510-56
15PachucaPachuca7133414-106
16Club TijuanaTijuana6123610-45
17Cruz AzulCruz Azul7115713-64
18NecaxaNecaxa7034411-73

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