Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 42.61%. A draw has a probability of 29.5% and a win for Preston North End has a probability of 27.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Preston North End win it is 0-1 (11.09%).
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
| 42.61% ( | 29.55% ( | 27.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.98% ( | 65.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.1% ( | 83.9% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( | 30.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.5% ( | 66.5% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.53% ( | 40.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.92% ( | 77.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 14.64% ( 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0-0 @ 12.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.58% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.33% Total : 27.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
| 2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
| 3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
| 11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
| 13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
| 20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
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