Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
