Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.