Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.