Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough United in this match.
