Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
