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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Cheltenham Town
Lincoln
2 - 0
Cheltenham
House (42', 79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Long (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Cheltenham Town

With both teams almost completely safe from any lingering fears of relegation, we expect this to be a slightly more entertaining match than the goalless stalemate played out in Gloucestershire last month. However, both managers are keen to build on a strong defence, hence why these sides have averaged scoring fewer than one goal per game across the course of the game. We can envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCheltenham Town
42.8% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.97%30.23%
Both teams to score 49.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)55.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.6%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48%60.52%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06%69.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.79%
    Cheltenham Town 30.23%
    Draw 26.96%
Lincoln CityDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Cheltenham

Lincoln City
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Cheltenham Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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