Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Vasco da Gama

Lanus
1 - 0
Vasco

Carrera (53', 53')
Moreno (37'), Moreno (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moura (38'), Moura (38'), Victor (58'), Victor (58'), Paulinho (87'), Paulinho (87')
Moura (83'), Moura (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Lanus (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
LanusDrawVasco da Gama
42.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)27.14% (0.0019999999999989 0)30.32% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)56.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)77.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)61.08% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.23% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 42.54%
    Vasco da Gama 30.32%
    Draw 27.13%
LanusDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Vasco
0-0
Lanus
Jair (33'), Adson (79'), Adson (79')
(48'), Cabrera (61'), Izquierdoz (61')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
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11Fulham38159145454054
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13Everton381115124244-248
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15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
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17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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