

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 38.05% | 29.52% | 32.43% | 
| Both teams to score 43.16% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 36.24% | 63.75% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.99% | 83.01% | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.62% | 32.38% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.1% | 68.89% | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.83% | 36.16% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.05% | 72.94% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.96% Total : 32.43% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 | 
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
