Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.