Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.