Northern Ireland national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Iceland national football team

N. Ireland
1 - 0
Iceland

Price (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thor Willumsson (40'), Arnar Haraldsson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Northern Ireland and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 5-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Denmark vs. N. Ireland
Saturday, June 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Iceland

All competitions
Last Game: Iceland 1-3 Kosovo
Sunday, March 23 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Scotland vs. Iceland
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw has a probability of 18.8% and a win for Iceland has a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.87%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Iceland win it is 0-1 (4.22%).

Result
Northern IrelandDrawIceland
71.12% (0.595 0.59)18.76% (-0.316 -0.32)10.12% (-0.275 -0.28)
Both teams to score 40.9% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (0.55 0.55)49.26% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.495 0.5)71.31% (-0.489 -0.49)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42% (0.33800000000001 0.34)12.58% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.35% (0.689 0.69)38.65% (-0.685 -0.68)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.79% (-0.204 -0.2)53.21% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.22% (-0.129 -0.13)86.78% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 71.11%
    Iceland 10.12%
    Draw 18.76%
Northern IrelandDrawIceland
2-0 @ 14.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.94% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.15% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 71.11%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 4.22% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 10.12%