Scotland national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Iceland national football team

Scotland
1 - 1
Iceland

Souttar (25')
LIVE
26'
Gudjohnsen (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Scotland and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 0-3 Greece
Sunday, March 23 at 5pm in Nations League

Iceland

All competitions
Last Game: Iceland 1-3 Kosovo
Sunday, March 23 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Scotland win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Iceland has a probability of 26.33% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Iceland win is 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result
ScotlandDrawIceland
47.61% (-0.49 -0.49)26.06% (0.284 0.28)26.33% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 49.82% (-0.664 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-0.949 -0.95)53.92% (0.952 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.803 -0.8)75.37% (0.80600000000001 0.81)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)22.65% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (-0.927 -0.93)56.29% (0.929 0.93)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.337 -0.34)35.59% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (-0.348 -0.35)72.36% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 47.6%
    Iceland 26.33%
    Draw 26.06%
ScotlandDrawIceland
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.231 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.33%