Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Beira-Rio
Bahia

Internacional
2 - 1
Bahia

Vitinho (58'), Borre (77')
Fernando (43'), Wesley (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lucas (54')
Luciano (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sport 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, May 25 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawBahia
68.01% (0.035000000000011 0.04)18.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)13.3% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)40.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)63.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)11.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)35.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.3% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.3% (-0.038 -0.04)78.7% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 67.99%
    Bahia 13.3%
    Draw 18.7%
InternacionalDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.17%
4-0 @ 4.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 67.99%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.7%
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 13.3%

How you voted: Internacional vs Bahia

Internacional
56.0%
Draw
40.0%
Bahia
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Bahia
1-1
Internacional
Lucas (73')
Lucas (36')
Valencia (84')
Henrique (39'), Aguirre (48'), Fernando (57')
Jul 28, 2024 12am
Gameweek 20
Bahia
1-1
Internacional
Duarte (13')
Gilberto (87')
Borre (89')
Bustos (61'), Rochet (66'), Mercado (81')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Internacional
2-1
Bahia
Wesley (72'), Fernando (83')
Mauricio (29'), Fernando (41'), Alario (88'), Bustos (90+3'), de Pena (90+4')
Teixeira (70')
Lucas (13'), Stum (90+4'), de Pena (90+6')
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Bahia
1-0
Internacional
Teixeira (44')
Rezende (30')

Vitao (52')
Lucca (83')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Internacional
2-0
Bahia
Cardoso (49'), Wanderson (90+9')
Campanharo (90+7')

Stum (63'), Carlos (68')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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