Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashington AFC win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Crook Town AFC had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashington AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Crook Town AFC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.