Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
