Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 47.64% | 25.6% | 26.75% |
| Both teams to score 51.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% | 51.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.04% | 54.95% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.19% | 70.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 32 |
| 7 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 30 |
| 9 | Salford City | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 28 |
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 28 |
| 11 | Walsall | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 27 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 15 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 25 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 24 |
| 17 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 19 |
| 19 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 16 |
| 21 | Rochdale | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 15 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 14 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 14 |
| 24 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 12 |
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