MX23RW : Friday, May 19 12:25:40| >> :60:2829:2829:
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Dnipro Arena
Dnipro-1
0 - 0
Larnaca

Peglow (56'), Hayner (61'), Hutsuliak (76')
FT

Angel (13'), Tomovic (63'), Pons (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Dnipro-1 and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Dnipro-1 0-1 AEK Larnaca (AEK Larnaca win 2-0 on aggregate)

Although they made hard work of the home leg, AEK Larnaca will fancy themselves as a stronger outfit than their playoff opponents, particularly given how much more competitive football they have played recently, and although Dnipro-1 should again make it tough, we back Oltra's side to advance with another narrow win on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
41.48% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 31.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.174 -0.17)53.5% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98% (-0.147 -0.15)75.02% (0.149 0.15)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)25.45% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)60.27% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.13 -0.13)31.17% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)67.5% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 41.48%
    AEK Larnaca 31.89%
    Draw 26.62%
Dnipro-1DrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.89%

How you voted: Dnipro-1 vs Larnaca

Dnipro-1
39.7%
Draw
10.3%
AEK Larnaca
50.0%
68
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Larnaca
1-0
Dnipro-1
Angel (84')
Angel (39')

Hamache (19'), Tanchyk (59'), Kucher (90+4')
Aug 25, 2022 5pm
Playoffs
Larnaca
3-0
Dnipro-1
Gyurcso (21'), Lopes (45'), Englezou (78')
Gustavo (61'), Lopes (73'), Angel (90+1')

Loginov (14'), Babenko (42')
Aug 18, 2022 7pm
Playoffs
Dnipro-1
1-2
Larnaca
Svatok (90')
Sarapiy (63')
Sarapiy (90+5')
Altman (16'), Svatok (29' og.)
Gustavo (62'), Casas (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!