Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Helmond Sport in this match.