Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.