Madagascar national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal de Mahamasina

Madagascar
1 - 1
Eswatini

Rafanomezantsoa (41')
Gilles Razafimaro (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Junior Magagula (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's COSAFA Cup clash between Madagascar and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 Ghana
Monday, March 24 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Tanzania vs. Madagascar
Saturday, June 7 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 3-3 Mauritius
Sunday, March 23 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Eswatini win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Madagascar has a probability of 31.33% and a draw has a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Madagascar win is 1-0 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.47%).

Result
MadagascarDrawEswatini
31.33% (1.861 1.86)30.49% (-0.641 -0.64)38.17% (-1.22 -1.22)
Both teams to score 40.47% (2.021 2.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.11% (2.142 2.14)66.88% (-2.142 -2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.81% (1.421 1.42)85.19% (-1.422 -1.42)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (2.712 2.71)38.72% (-2.714 -2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (2.482 2.48)75.46% (-2.482 -2.48)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (0.39099999999999 0.39)33.95% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (0.42 0.42)70.63% (-0.419 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 31.33%
    Eswatini 38.17%
    Draw 30.48%
MadagascarDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.394 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.288 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 31.33%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 13.14% (-1.09 -1.09)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.298 0.3)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.48%
0-1 @ 14.2% (-1 -1)
0-2 @ 7.67% (-0.457 -0.46)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.17%