Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
