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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Francisco Cabases

Talleres
0 - 1
River Plate


Catalan (19'), Galarza (90+3')
Suarez (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (86')
Diaz (45'), Echeverri (50'), Simon (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Talleres and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Talleres
Friday, August 9 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Huracan
Sunday, August 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Talleres 1-0 River Plate

With River shorn of their two Libertadores leading scorers, we are backing Talleres to eke out a marginal victory in Wednesday's all-Argentine last-16 first-leg match in Cordoba, thus notching their fifth victory in the last seven meetings between both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
TalleresDrawRiver Plate
28.01% (-0.107 -0.11) 26.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 45.61% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.11% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.026 -0.03)75.53% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)34.33% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (-0.103 -0.1)71.03% (0.102 0.1)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)23.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.058999999999997 0.06)57.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Talleres 28.01%
    River Plate 45.61%
    Draw 26.37%
TalleresDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.01%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 11.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.44% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.61%

How you voted: Talleres vs River Plate

Talleres
75.0%
Draw
15.0%
River Plate
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Talleres
2-2
River Plate
Sosa (61'), Portilla (76')
Carlos Portillo (40')
Solari (2'), Borja (38')
Diaz (36'), Aliendro (64')
Oct 8, 2023 8.45pm
Gameweek 8
River Plate
1-0
Talleres
Rondon (19')
Casco (35'), Gonzalez Pirez (57'), Rondon (66'), de la Cruz (90'), Aliendro (90+2'), Diaz (90+3')

Carlos Portillo (24'), Bustos (90+3'), Garro (90+3')
May 15, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Talleres
2-1
River Plate
Garro (63', 73')
Suarez (79')
Sep 24, 2022 10pm
Apr 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Talleres
1-0
River Plate
Valoyes (53')
Perez (16'), Martino (90+4')

Palavecino (45+1'), Gonzalez Pirez (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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