Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
