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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Luton Town

West Brom
5 - 3
Luton

Fellows (7', 33'), Dike (30'), Styles (57', 61')
Ajayi (73'), Furlong (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alli (9', 88'), Clark (65')
Aasgaard (72'), Clark (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLuton Town
48.09% (0.279 0.28)26.08% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)25.83% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.37% (-0.266 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69% (-0.226 -0.23)54.3% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (-0.189 -0.19)75.69% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.028999999999996 0.03)22.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (0.044999999999995 0.04)56.2% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.36900000000001 -0.37)36.22% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.376 -0.38)73% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 48.09%
    Luton Town 25.83%
    Draw 26.08%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.09%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: West Brom vs Luton

West Bromwich Albion
27.7%
Draw
10.6%
Luton Town
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 13
Luton
1-1
West Brom
Chong (60')
Bell (90')
Maja (45+4')
Furlong (41'), Styles (55')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
2-3
West Brom
Morris (7'), Adebayo (10')
Dike (39'), Molumby (65'), Townsend (67')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
0-0
Luton
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
2-0
West Brom
Jerome (55'), Campbell (83')
Bell (36'), Campbell (86')

Ajayi (29'), Molumby (84'), Bartley (84')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
3-2
Luton
Naismith (5' og.), Robinson (36'), Grant (66')
Mowatt (29'), Zohore (90+4')
Cornick (70'), Ruddock (90+7')
Campbell (15'), Osho (74')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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