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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
30.56% | 27.64% | 41.79% |
Both teams to score 47.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% | 57.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.48% | 78.51% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.67% | 34.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.97% | 71.03% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% | 27.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% | 62.68% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
4 | Southampton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 24 |
5 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Hull City | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
11 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
14 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
16 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
18 | Millwall | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 15 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |
22 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 3 |
> Championship Full Table |