Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 35.52% | 25.86% | 38.62% |
| Both teams to score 54.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% | 49.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% | 71.66% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.52% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Watford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Reading | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Preston North EndPreston | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 | Burnley | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | Luton TownLuton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 20 | Swansea CitySwansea | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Stoke CityStoke | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 | Coventry CityCoventry | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
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