Cerro Largo logo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario

Cerro Largo
0 - 1
Vitoria


Correa (76'), Correa (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Claudinho (83', 83')
Claudinho (80'), Claudinho (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cerro Largo and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawVitoria
36.02% (0.052 0.05)28.43% (0.023 0.02)35.55% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.17% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)59.83% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.89% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)80.11% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (-0.012 -0.01)68.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)31.95% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.104 -0.1)68.41% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 36.01%
    Vitoria 35.55%
    Draw 28.43%
Cerro LargoDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.55%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Vitoria
0-1
Cerro Largo

Matheuzinho (33'), Ronald (45+1'), Janderson (51'), Parada (90+3')
Peraza (75')
Bertochi (26'), Garcia (42'), Parada (90+5')