Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 15.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
