Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
