World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 11, 2025 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
0 - 0
Ecuador

(Ecuador win 4-1 on aggregate)

Carrillo (27'), Flores (40'), Tapia (50'), Quevedo (88')

Franco (29'), Franco (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Next Game: Colombia vs. Peru
Friday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Ecuador

All competitions

Last Game: Chile 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Brazil
Friday, June 6 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peru win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw has a probability of 31.1% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win is 1-0 with a probability of 18.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.76%), while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (10.89%).

Result
Peru	Draw	Ecuador
46.9% ( -1.33)	31.11% ( 0.14)	21.99% ( 1.19)

Both teams to score 34.19% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.21% (

0.34)

71.79% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.64% (

0.21)

88.36% (

-0.2)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

-0.53)

31.46% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16% (

-0.62)

67.84% (

0.62)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.88% (

1.51)

50.12% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.26% (

1.02)

84.74% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Peru 46.89%

Ecuador 21.99%

Draw 31.1%

Peru	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 18.23% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.82% Total : 46.89%	0-0 @ 15.76% ( -0.2) 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.23% Total : 31.1%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.99%