We said: Venezuela 1-2 Peru
Venezuela and Peru are second and third, respectively, regarding goals allowed in CONMEBOL qualifying, so we expect each side to find the mark on Tuesday, but we believe the momentum of Los Incas will propel them to another triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.19%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.