Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for USA had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest USA win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
