Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Martinique had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Martinique win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
