Cuba national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 10, 2025 at 9pm UK
Estadio Antonio Manuel Berruezo
Bermuda national football team

Cuba
1 - 2
Bermuda

Aguirre de Cespedes (59')
(25'), Matos (42'), (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Parfitt-Williams (6'), Lambe (74')
(25'), Lewis (45+2'), (76'), (90+4'), (90+4'), (90'), Parfitt-Williams (90'), Lee (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Cuba and Bermuda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-1 Cuba
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Antigua vs. Cuba
Friday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 6-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, November 19 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Bermuda vs. Cayman Islands
Thursday, June 5 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cuba win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Bermuda has a probability of 28.53% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Bermuda win is 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.92%).

Result
CubaDrawBermuda
49.02% (-1.654 -1.65)22.44% (0.301 0.3)28.53% (1.342 1.34)
Both teams to score 63.68% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-0.445 -0.45)36.48% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.36% (-0.486 -0.49)58.63% (0.476 0.48)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)15.24% (0.716 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.07% (-1.372 -1.37)43.92% (1.363 1.36)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.661 0.66)24.85% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.916 0.92)59.45% (-0.925 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cuba 49.02%
    Bermuda 28.53%
    Draw 22.44%
CubaDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.236 0.24)
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.53%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2019 8pm
International Friendlies
Bermuda
0-5
Cuba
Andreus (20', 84'), Hernandez (39', 45', 96')