World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino

Honduras
3 - 1
Cuba

Lozano (26', 26'), Rodriguez (45+2', 45+2'), Castillo (82', 82')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Reyes (22', 22')
Hernandez (52'), Hernandez (52'), Angel Rodriguez (86'), Torrez Gutierrez (86'), Angel Rodriguez (86'), Torrez Gutierrez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Cuba

All competitions

Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Cuba
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.13%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Cuba
84.86% ( 0.55)	10.96% ( -0.18)	4.17% ( -0.37)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Honduras	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.29) 5-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.21) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.16) 7-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 84.86%	1-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.28% Total : 10.96%	0-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.09% Total : 4.17%