Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 75.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
