Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
