Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
