Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
