Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
