Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
