Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

U. Catolica
1 - 0
Vitoria

Baralhas (75' og., 75' og.)
Johan Moreno Zuniga (79'), Johan Moreno Zuniga (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baralhas (27'), Baralhas (27'), Jamerson (34'), Jamerson (34'), Marcos (37'), Marcos (37')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 U. Catolica
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Santos
Sunday, May 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawVitoria
55.71% (-0.122 -0.12)23.55% (0.019000000000002 0.02)20.73% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.12% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.040999999999997 0.04)49.09% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)17.46% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)47.93% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (0.126 0.13)38.07% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (0.122 0.12)74.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 55.71%
    Vitoria 20.73%
    Draw 23.55%
Universidad CatolicaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.71%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.73%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Vitoria
1-1
U. Catolica
Matheuzinho (76' pen.)
Braga (17')
Londono (54')
Anangono (12'), Luis Castillo Saa (19'), Cacciabue (37'), David Lara Medrano (90+4')
Luis Castillo Saa (64')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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