We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Caykur Rizespor
While Caykur Rizespor will hope for a boost under their new manager, who will be keen to topple his former club, we ultimately back Galatasaray to get over the line at home to a side lacking quality or momentum.
Despite their struggles for convincing victories, Gala may still come in on a high after their late turnaround last time out, and their superior squad should make it two wins on the bounce.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
