Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.