Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 34.97%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 32.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.02%) and 1-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (14.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
